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Texas Statewide
2026 GOP Primary Runoff

Image and Ballot Testing
April 14th, 2026

Ballot

Full Question: If the May 26 Republican primary runoff election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for?

Topline

John Cornyn
44%
Ken Paxton
43%
Undecided
13%

Crosstabs

John CornynKen PaxtonUndecided
Trump35%53%12%
Fiscal48%37%15%
Christian39%53%8%
Traditional64%21%15%
Female44%43%13%
Male43%44%13%
18-4441%36%23%
45-5443%41%16%
55-6435%54%11%
65+47%42%11%
No Degree42%46%12%
College +45%40%15%
White44%44%12%
Hispanic47%37%16%
Other Race23%44%32%
4 of 443%47%10%
3 of 442%46%12%
2 of 446%43%10%
1 of 442%46%12%
0 of 444%32%23%
Dallas-Ft. W45%40%15%
Houston37%49%13%
Austin59%33%8%
San Antonio44%44%12%
Other DMA41%46%13%
Rural38%52%10%
Suburban45%37%18%
Urban48%41%11%
John CornynKen PaxtonUndecided
LowerHigher

Cornyn Image

Full Question: What is your opinion of Senator John Cornyn?

Topline

Very Fav.
17%
Sw' Fav.
30%
Sw' Unfav.
18%
Very Unfav.
27%
No opinion
5%
Never Heard
3%

Crosstabs

Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Heard
Trump23%25%16%29%5%1%
Fiscal7%37%20%29%4%3%
Christian10%34%24%25%5%2%
Traditional27%31%16%15%5%7%
Female21%28%19%24%6%1%
Male13%32%17%29%4%5%
18-445%27%19%29%2%18%
45-5412%35%21%25%7%1%
55-6414%27%14%37%7%1%
65+22%31%19%23%4%1%
No Degree19%28%15%28%5%5%
College +15%33%21%26%5%1%
White18%29%19%27%5%3%
Hispanic13%43%13%20%7%5%
Other Race17%19%23%37%2%3%
4 of 419%28%19%31%3%0%
3 of 415%28%23%30%3%0%
2 of 414%37%18%26%5%1%
1 of 419%28%21%24%6%2%
0 of 418%32%9%18%9%13%
Dallas-Ft. W17%32%18%25%5%3%
Houston10%33%21%31%4%1%
Austin20%31%14%26%1%7%
San Antonio17%37%13%30%3%0%
Other DMA21%25%19%25%6%4%
Rural21%23%16%33%5%2%
Suburban14%33%19%24%6%4%
Urban17%35%20%23%4%2%
Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Heard
LowerHigher

Paxton Image

Full Question: What is your opinion of Attorney General Ken Paxton?

Topline

Very Fav.
26%
Sw' Fav.
29%
Sw' Unfav.
14%
Very Unfav.
25%
No opinion
5%
Never Heard
1%

Crosstabs

Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Heard
Trump38%35%13%6%6%1%
Fiscal14%25%12%45%4%0%
Christian26%32%16%20%2%5%
Traditional17%16%20%44%3%0%
Female28%29%16%20%5%2%
Male24%29%12%30%4%1%
18-4414%22%11%41%2%9%
45-5427%27%6%36%5%0%
55-6435%32%13%16%4%1%
65+25%30%17%22%5%0%
No Degree32%30%14%18%5%2%
College +20%28%15%32%5%1%
White26%29%15%25%4%1%
Hispanic24%30%9%27%11%0%
Other Race36%22%10%28%4%0%
4 of 428%27%18%25%2%0%
3 of 431%30%14%22%3%0%
2 of 423%35%14%26%3%0%
1 of 425%30%15%26%4%1%
0 of 423%23%7%26%14%6%
Dallas-Ft. W21%27%15%29%4%3%
Houston32%31%10%23%3%0%
Austin16%23%22%36%1%3%
San Antonio28%37%10%22%3%0%
Other DMA30%29%14%20%8%0%
Rural33%33%12%18%4%0%
Suburban23%26%16%26%6%3%
Urban22%28%14%32%4%0%
Very Fav.Sw' Fav.Sw' Unfav.Very Unfav.No opinionNever Heard
LowerHigher

Methodology & Demographics

Fielded On
April 11-14, 2026
Method
Mobile Text Responses and Landline Interviews
Population & Sample
1,143 Likely Republican Primary Voters
Weighting
Age, Gender, Education Level, and Race
Margin of Error
+/- 3.07%
Contact
Ryan Munce, President
co/efficient
ryan@coefficient.org

Republican Type

Trump39%
Fiscal25%
Christian19%
Traditional17%

Age

18-4412%
45-5413%
55-6419%
65+55%

Gender

Female51%
Male49%

Education

No Degree51%
College +49%

Race

White85%
Hispanic12%
Other Race3%

DMA

Dallas-Ft. Worth32%
Houston18%
East & North Tx16%
San Antonio/South15%
West Tx10%
Austin9%

Last 4 Primaries

4 of 427%
3 of 418%
2 of 420%
1 of 418%
0 of 417%

Household Income

<$50k12%
$50-75k15%
$75-100k16%
$100-150k39%
$150k+19%